Originally posted by abassinafghan
View Post
Thanks for the response. Much I agree with, other points lets continue to discuss:
Regarding the nidus or seed or group of people that created Pakistan, such as Jinnah and some of his colleagues, I agree regarding their lack of Islamic character. Regarding the Agha Khani Ismailis, I also agree that they have a major stake on the country. In fact Aga Khan medical flourishes in that country for a reason.
Moreover, in the last decade the Aga Khan sect has increased its involvement in Afghanistan to a great degree:
http://www.akdn.org/afghanistan
Does that then also make it so that the governmental green light that the Karzai government gave them makes Karzai and his cronies as suspect as Jinnah? If not, why not.
Regarding nuclear power and who the US allows to have it and who the US does not allow to have it, I think that its a bit of a consipiracy theory to say that the US doles out nukes to who they wish. In the Clinton era when Pakistan detonated its first nuke, America had not yet received the stimulus to invade the region or act in such aggressive ways just yet. Recall that the country was still, two decades later smarting from the Vietnam conflict and that a democratic administration was probably not going to be as apparent in pursuing such a major scale conflict. Examine the disaster Clinton encountered in Somalia and the way the Republicans made a mess of his involvement in Bosnia for a reference. Instead, the cold war enviroment between India and Pakistan has made sure that, if nothing else, Pakistan pours much into its military. Recall that India detonated its nukes and Pakistan did therafter.
Also, there are multiple levels of complexity to Pakistan's relationship with the US that I think Khushal's earlier post highlights well. That is, I dont think everyone marches lock stock and barrell under the mantra that cooperation with the Americans is state sanctioned and people approved policy. If nothing else, the fact that the Pakistani state utilizes media control to shift views of its adversaries indicates a degree of manipulation of its people to hold back their anger.
Regarding the role of nuclear power in being a deterrance, I think Rick Santorum's debate commentary is proof positive that the nukes are probably one of the only things that held back America from, in the words of Armitage "bombing" Pakistan "back to the stone age." Santorum attempted to contest his colleagues view on Pakistan and attacking it directly and stated clearly: They are a nuclear power. The behavior toward North Korea potentially having a nuke is another real world practical example. Santorum's desire to hit Iran and how it differs from his view regarding Pakistan is an example as well.
Remember that Pakistan is not economically sovereign. The majority of what keeps its people afloat are donations from expats and a portion comes from US Aid. The upper crust elite benefit tremendously from the latter and military accepts aid and military technology from the Americans. Therefore, its easy to see that Pakistan is not one monolithic united country or government in the sense of other modern nations.
For that matter, Erdogans Turkey also has allowed base access for the Americans in the past and only briefly cut it off. Does that make Turkey completely American run? I wouldnt think so.
Regarding the commentary about Balochistan, I can see where you are coming from morally and I concur that the Baloch have the moral imperitive in this matter. But as I stated, beliefs and ideologies are just that. In this world, might makes right. So as I stated, in an ideal world a balance would exist in Syria where a Sunni majority protects its allawaite minority but still holds the reigns of power. Israel would vanish... and the Saudi Royal Family would be bankrupt. These views of what should be are not important. Just as in Alexander's time, might makes right. Nation states fight and exist because they do... not because people wish them away.
So the commentary about Balochistan and the idea that a Karzai governmental Afghanistan will arm and support Baloch freedom fighters will not, in any universe go unnoticed.
Just as Lincoln did not let the South secede... and despite the fact that States rights arguments are valid under the constitution... there was no way or chance that the federal government would cede that land to Jefferson Davis.
Gaddafi also realized this maxim and the people fighting him new that there was no way he was simply going to walk away and allow such threats to continue.
So in this way what you are asking me to do is to say
1) We should all do a rally in Afghanistan to show Baloch support
2) We should back an Afghan government that overtly and covertly supports Baloch insurgency
and then that we should get mad when Pakistan does what is expected which is: respond to threats to its integrity as a nation state.
That is just unrealistic.
In fact such fanciful thinking is what drives the thought processes of those that support a NATO presence. The notion is that:
1) We somehow cleverly outsmart NATO and trick them into training a super power style Afghan military (aint gonna happen)
2) That in the mean time as this is going on, we allow the pressure to be ratcheted up on Pakistan to further insult its integrity as a nation state
3) Then somehow NATO leaves with a handshake and the new Afghan super power destroys Pakistan.
This is really almost like a superstitious and religious belief amongst these people in the Afghan government.
And just as you asked about how autonomous powers with nuclear arms could ever be as Pakistan is, a similar question could be asked with much greater historical basis?:
What occupied nation with resources ever benefited from a nonidigenous occupation done by a people with a completely different religious ideology and governmental philosophy? The answer is none and the era of colonialism is testament to this.
In fact the one nation that has evolved from such a strategy is the failed state of Pakistan.


), you have sought to give an interpretation to LZ statement that is the exact opposite of what he implies i.e., there is no way Pakistani and Afghan states can co-exist without one devouring the other. This is because the reasons of animosity between Afghan and Pakistani states are more in the cultural-ideological contradiction (at least from the point of view of Pakistani ideological elite) than in territorial or political dispute. Afg and India define themselves historical states; Pakistan on the contrary an ideological state.
Comment