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  • Pakistan government to fall?

    Pakistan government to fall?


    By Imran Khan in
    on September 28th, 2010.

    EPA photo

    The rumour mill is in overdrive. Yousef Raza Gilani, the Pakistan prime minister, risks defying a court order, and the supreme court is flexing its muscles. It's high noon in Pakistan and the showdown, due in the supreme court on October 13, is putting immense pressure on the government.

    Once again, the government is in crisis. This time it's over a case the government claims has technically been closed. It involves alleged money laundering through Switzerland by Asif Ali Zardari, the country's president, before he became president.

    Supporters of the government say he has presidential immunity and therefore he is free from prosecution. Not so, says the supreme court, as the allegation's date from before his time as leader.

    The supreme court wants the Pakistani PM to write a letter to the Swiss authorities demanding that they reopen the case. So far the PM has not written the letter. If he fails to adhere to the supreme court's demand, many experts say he will be held in contempt. If he is, so one argument goes, then his government falls.

    Protracted legal battle

    Another scenario involves a new case taking a look at when immunity for the president begins and ends. Both scenarios mean - you guessed it - a protracted legal and political battle.

    The government is teetering on the precipice. It all hinges on a signature. Pakistan's law ministry, in direct opposition to the supreme court, doesn't want that letter written and has drafted an order to that effect. If the PM signs that order, then he could be accused of contempt of court.

    If the government's current allies stay with it, then all may be well - and the government could ride out the contempt order. It will be rough, but could happen, and will mean months, maybe years, in court.

    But if Karachi's main political party, Muttahida Qaumi Movement, decides to bail, then the government could survive, but will be weakened. If one of the biggest religious parties also decides to bail, then that's a real problem.

    The leader of the biggest opposition party, Nawaz Sharif of the PML (N), faces a tough choice. According to many analysts, whatever happens on October 13th he will be under pressure from his own party members and the public to call for a vote of no confidence in the government. If he calls for it and gets it, that means early elections.

    On the surface this could prove advantageous to Sharif, as in any election Sharif will most likely emerge a winner. But this is Pakistan. Even he knows that in order for this fledgling democracy to move forward, the current government needs to survive a full term. If not, then the likelihood of a Sharif government completing a full term is, well, difficult.

    The country saw this in the nineties. Two main parties - the Pakistani People's party led by Zardari's deceased wife Benazir Bhutto, and Sharif's PML (N) - flip flopped power four times as each accused the other of sins against the Pakistani people. Eventually after a high stakes game of chicken over the skies of Pakistan, when Sharif refused to allow the then military chief Pervez Musharraf's plane to land, the military took over.

    Floundering government

    For the next eight years Pakistan was under military rule with Musharraf as president. Very few want a return to that state. But this government is floundering and by many accounts keeps making mistakes.
    The handling of the flood crisis, when the Pakistani president flew off to Europe yet his country was grappling with the biggest natural disaster in it's history, angered many Pakistanis.
    While Zardari has been dogged by corruption charges, prime minister Gilani is seen as being an ineffective leader, and his cabinet has been battered by charges of cronyism amongst many other allegations.

    This latest showdown is being seen as the straw that could break the camel's back.

    Pakistanis are wondering whether a change in government is in the offing. The prime minister in contempt of court is controversial. If that happens then all bets are off. However, it's likely that some sort of protracted legal battle will take place - the government battling the supreme court. That means that this government will be busy in court and not implementing its policies.
    Ifitikhar Muhammed Chaudhry, the chief justice, has already seen the back of one of Pakistani leaders, the military dictator Pervez Musharraff. His supporters say he has the law on his side.

    The way out

    There is a way out for the government. If it effectively stamps out corruption, it could survive and that may well be enough for the supreme court. But will it be enough for the opposition? Well that's another matter.

    There is, however, another twist in the tale. According to the Swiss authorities quoted by Pakistani media, the case against Zardari cannot be reopened.

    Swiss attorney general Daniel Zappelli said in April that since Zardari enjoys immunity under international law, even if the letter was received through official channels, the Swiss government could not act. It begs the question: Why not just send the letter if that's the case?

    One theory suggest the government is defiant as it does not want the supreme court to become the arbiter of who leads the country. Others suggest that this government is simply bent on committing political suicide.
    Pakistan is gripped. It seems everyone has a theory about what will happen next. No one, though, knows for sure.





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    • the real muslim 16 hours ago

      As in my previous comments which were never published, I stated clearly we need a revolution, to have a clean start for the country and for nation. We had enough of these corrupt leaders who come to power with personal mandate other than the country and its nation. Who sacrifice nations dignity and hounour for gains in foreign bank accounts. I wont be surprised if Flood appeal funds end up in their SWISS OR SAUDI ACCOUNTS. Mr 10% and Nawaz Sharif, PML-N are far most corrupt leaders in Pakistan. Being a 3rd world country leader their have millions of dollars accounts and assets overseas. How bizarre is that where a ordinary Pakistani is suffering on a daily basis to meet their ends. These leaders should be brought to justice and punished in public so that it will be a lesson for future leaders if they decide to play with nation and Pakistan.

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      16 people liked this. Like Reply Reply

    • Deng Poh 17 hours ago

      The hypocricy of Nawaz Shareef is obvious in the whole process. The government is disobeying the court and he is still doing the political calculations.

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      8 people liked this. Like Reply Reply



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    Biography




    Imran Khan
    Correspondent
    Imran Khan, a Doha-based correspondent, is reporting from across Pakistan.





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  • #2
    Don't care whether the govt falls I personally don't care but I definitely don't see anyone else out there to come to replace Zardari And Company
    yao warokay ghwandi baagh ao pa khwa ye seen rawan!

    Comment


    • #3
      i hope this government of taghoot falls and the taliban take over whole of pakistan and hang all secularist charlatans and demagogues in squares and public arenas
      [SIZE="4"][B][CENTER][URL="www.quranawsunnat.com"]www.quranawsunnat.com
      [/URL]
      [URL="www.youtube.com/Sangartube"]www.youtube.com/Sangartube
      [/URL][/SIZE]
      Mullah 4 Life! [/CENTER][/B]

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      • #4
        By JANE PERLEZ
        Published: September 28, 2010

        ISLAMABAD, Pakistan — The Pakistani military, angered by the inept handling of the country’s devastating floods and alarmed by a collapse of the economy, is pushing for a shake-up of the elected government, and in the longer term, even the removal of President Asif Ali Zardari and his top lieutenants.

        The military, preoccupied by a war against militants and reluctant to assume direct responsibility for the economic crisis, has made clear it is not eager to take over the government, as it has many times before, military officials and politicians said.

        But the government’s performance since the floods, which have left 20 million people homeless and the nation dependent on handouts from skeptical foreign donors, has laid bare the deep underlying tensions between military and civilian leaders.

        American officials, too, say it has left them increasingly disillusioned with Mr. Zardari, a deeply unpopular president who was elected two and a half years ago on a wave of sympathy after the assassination of his wife, former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto.

        In a meeting on Monday that was played on the front page of Pakistan’s newspapers, the army chief, Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, confronted the president and his prime minister, Yousaf Raza Gilani, over incompetence and corruption in the government.

        According to the press and Pakistani officials familiar with the conversation, the general demanded that they dismiss at least some ministers in the oversized 60-member cabinet, many of whom face corruption charges.

        The civilian government has so far resisted the general’s demand. But the meeting was widely interpreted by the Pakistani news media, which has grown increasingly hostile to the president, as a rebuke to the civilian politicians and as having pushed the government to the brink.

        After the meeting, the president’s office issued a statement, approved by all the men, saying they had agreed “to protect the democratic process and to resolve all issues in accordance with the constitution.”

        A Pakistani official close to the president who was familiar with the conversation but did not want to be identified, said, “The president made it clear that he would not leave, come what may.”

        “Sanity had prevailed,” the official added.

        Since the floods, the government has defended its handling of the crisis, arguing that any government would have been overwhelmed by its scale.

        Still, it is clear that General Kayani, head of the country’s most powerful institution, and the one that has taken the lead in the flood crisis, has ratcheted up the pressure on the government.

        Having secured an exceptional three-year extension in his post from Mr. Zardari in July, General Kayani appears determined to prevent the economy from bankruptcy. Military officers in the main cities have been talking openly and expansively about their contempt for the Zardari government and what they term the economic calamity, an unusual candor, reporters and politicians said.

        “The gross economic mismanagement by the government is at the heart of it,” said Rifaat Hussain, a professor of international relations at Islamabad University and a confidant of the military. “And there is the rising public disaffection with the Pakistani Peoples Party under Zardari and Gilani.”

        As the military demands the overhaul, the Supreme Court is also pushing the government on the issue of corruption by threatening to remove the president’s immunity from prosecution, a move that would expose him to charges of corruption in an old money-laundering case in Switzerland.

        The government has defied the court’s demand to write a letter to the Swiss government requesting a reopening of the case against Mr. Zardari, who served 11 years in prison in Pakistan on unproved corruption charges. On Monday, the court granted an extension of two weeks for the government to reconsider its position.

        Much of the rising disdain for the government has to do with the perception among the media and the public of the callous and inept handling of the floods by the nation’s wealthy ruling class.

        Mr. Gilani drew public ire for appearing at an ersatz camp for flood victims set up just for television cameras. It also did not help that newspapers reported that scores of cartons from the London luxury store Harrods had arrived at his residence in Lahore at the height of the flooding.

        Mr. Zardari, meanwhile, was vilified for visiting his chateau in France as torrents of water wiped out millions of villagers in his home province, Sindh.

        In his most recent visit to Pakistan, Richard C. Holbrooke, the American special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, said the international community could not be expected to provide all the billions of dollars needed to repair the flood damage, a warning interpreted here as a rebuke of the civilian government and its mismanagement.

        But Washington, not unlike Pakistan’s military, is caught, American officials say, because there is no appetite for a return of military rule. Nor is there desire to see the opposition politician and former prime minister, Nawaz Sharif, resume power.

        Mr. Sharif, who has also faced corruption charges during his career, is considered by Washington to be too close to some of Pakistan’s militant groups, whose members vote in Punjab, the Sharif electoral base.

        As the head of the of the main opposition party, the Pakistan Muslim League-N, Mr. Sharif is not ready to come to the fore in any case, his aides say, because he does not want to be associated with the paralysis of the current government.

        Of mounting concern to the Obama administration is the potential for serious unrest if the economy unspools further: inflation by some predictions will reach 25 percent in the coming period. The price of sugar has tripled, and the cost of flour has doubled since the Zardari government came to power.

        In particular, Washington wants the government to raise taxes on the wealthy landed and commercial class, a shortcoming that has become especially galling as Pakistan’s dependence on foreign donors rises.

        Pakistan’s revenues from taxes are among the lowest in the world: only 2 million Pakistanis of a population of 170 million pay income tax, according to estimates by the United States.

        A report in a leading newspaper, The News, said Monday that Mr. Gilani and 25 of his ministers, including the finance minister, Hafiz Shaikh, did not pay income taxes at all, according to sworn affidavits by the ministers to the Election Commission of Pakistan.

        The alarm about the economy was first sounded by Mr. Shaikh, a former officer of the World Bank, who told a meeting of political and military leaders last month that the government had enough money to pay only two months’ salaries. The economy was “teetering on the brink” before the floods but was now heading for the “abyss,” Mr. Shaikh was quoted as saying.

        The military officers who attended were astounded, Mr. Hussain and others informed of the meeting said, and have pressed the government for changes, politicians and diplomats said.

        As the military maneuvers for change, it is not immune from criticism. Defense spending is budgeted at 13.6 percent of total expenditures in 2011, in line with past yearly expenditures even as the civilian population suffers.

        The defense budget remains beyond public scrutiny, a fact that increasingly irks the public.

        “Do we even know how much it costs taxpayers each year to make possible the office, the home, the car fleets, attendants, guest houses and other amenities that are enjoyed by the army chief or even a corps commander?” asked Babar Sattar, a lawyer who often writes about corruption.

        http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/29/wo...ewanted=1&_r=1
        It's enough that I know, Our time had a home, In your heart..Was a place..But the glass always breaks..

        Comment


        • #5
          unless they boot some ministers, cut down on corruption and boost the economy it is unlikely they will survive for the next 2.5 years...pakistanis have had enough of their incompetence
          It's enough that I know, Our time had a home, In your heart..Was a place..But the glass always breaks..

          Comment


          • #6
            Shamla Warkharasani wrora a BIG NO to Talibans


            Talal totally agreed to your second post
            yao warokay ghwandi baagh ao pa khwa ye seen rawan!

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Shehbaz Khan View Post
              Shamla Warkharasani wrora a BIG NO to Talibans


              Talal totally agreed to your second post
              another pakistani pathan who does not know what "shamlawar" is. LOL

              Btw: nice moustache. It tells alot about you.
              [SIZE="4"][B][CENTER][URL="www.quranawsunnat.com"]www.quranawsunnat.com
              [/URL]
              [URL="www.youtube.com/Sangartube"]www.youtube.com/Sangartube
              [/URL][/SIZE]
              Mullah 4 Life! [/CENTER][/B]

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              • #8
                ^^there is no need for that sangar.

                Army telling civilian governments about economic and political mismanagement hahahahha....wow talk about the post calling the kettle black.
                http://i29.tinypic.com/2a6j8jm.gif

                Comment


                • #9
                  I hope this goverments falls and Zardari goes to prison.....again.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    self deleted
                    Last edited by drona; 09-29-2010, 02:51 PM.
                    Vande Mataram - Lata Mangeshkar - YouTube

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      LOL... i lived in pakistan for 10 years and a president's term in pakistan should last 5 years so during my there should have only 2 elections... even 1... but it was the opposite... i think i witnessed more than 5 government fall. it is a joke!...

                      each prime minster would come and steal and run away!...

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        lolzz why so they can repeat the same problems for Pakistan? Where do you think these problems came from..it was from these nifaaq military.
                        http://i29.tinypic.com/2a6j8jm.gif

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by BLS_1919v2.0 View Post
                          ^^there is no need for that sangar.

                          Army telling civilian governments about economic and political mismanagement hahahahha....wow talk about the post calling the kettle black.
                          You can't use that remark as far as economic management goes or rather the remark won't be correct..Musharraf was many bad things but Pakistan's economy during his regime saw unprecedented growth..but yes agreed Army can't be allowed back in and as far as Kayani is concerned he is doing a remarkable job of keeping the country together without resorting to a coup..That being said Zardari and co. would have to bring about some changes if they wanna stay afloat
                          It's enough that I know, Our time had a home, In your heart..Was a place..But the glass always breaks..

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Talal View Post
                            You can't use that remark as far as economic management goes or rather the remark won't be correct..Musharraf was many bad things but Pakistan's economy during his regime saw unprecedented growth..but yes agreed Army can't be allowed back in and as far as Kayani is concerned he is doing a remarkable job of keeping the country together without resorting to a coup..That being said Zardari and co. would have to bring about some changes if they wanna stay afloat
                            Look his economic management wasn't that stellar, US injected a lot of funds into Pakistan as they jumped ship and joined US as well. There is a joke nick name for Shaukat Aziz they used to call him short cut Aziz. Plus what ever little economic growth pakistan got in those years was hampered due to Musharraf's policies regarding militancy in FATA and the Balochistan problem which he helped further enflame.

                            Pakistan just got civilian government after a long spell of incompetent military rulers....you have to let it run its course, let the institutions mature. If these institutions don't mature you don't have much of a country, and the military coming in won't help (never has). Military left a huge mess for Pakistan, many of them (i.e. Baloch) probably can't be reversed, but at least there should be more confidence in these institutions. You can't hand any government that many chronic problems and expect them to make it through that easily...look at what they are dealing with as well. Having said that I am not a fan of the civilian government, but the army is just a problem.
                            http://i29.tinypic.com/2a6j8jm.gif

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Exhibit A: Why democracy never succeeds in Pakistan?

                              Originally posted by Shadow Caster
                              The army should come to rule.

                              We need another general like Ayub Khan , Zia and Musharraf.

                              Comment

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