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BRICS: Toward a Rio Consensus

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  • BRICS: Toward a Rio Consensus



    Conveniently scheduled at the end of the World Cup, leaders of the BRICS countries travel to Brazil in mid-July for a meeting that presents them with a truly historic opportunity. While in Brazil, the BRICS hope to establish a new development bank and reserve currency pool arrangement.

    This action could strike a true trifecta — recharge global economic governance and the prospects for development as well as pressure the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) — to get back on the right track.

    The two Bretton Woods institutions, both headquartered in Washington, with good reason originally put financial stability, employment and development as their core missions.

    That focus, however, became derailed in the last quarter of the 20th century. During the 1980s and 1990s, the World Bank and the IMF pushed the “Washington Consensus,” which offered countries financing but conditioned it on a doctrine of deregulation.

    The legacy of the “Washington Consensus”

    With the benefit of hindsight, the era of the Washington Consensus is seen as a painful one. It inflicted significant economic and political cost across the developing the world.

    What is more, the operations of the World Bank and the IMF are perceived as rigged against emerging market and developing countries. The unwritten rule that the head of the IMF is always a European and the World Bank chief is to be an American is only a superficial but no less grating public expression of that.

    Worse still is the fact that the voting structure of both institutions is skewed toward industrialized countries — and grants the United States veto power to boot.

    It wasn’t always that way. As Eric Helleiner shows in one of his two new books Forgotten Foundations of Bretton Woods: International Development and the Making of the Postwar Order, China, Brazil, India and other countries wanted development goals to remain a core part of the Bretton Woods institutions.

    Some of their proposals eventually made it into the policy mix of the World Bank and the IMF, including short-term financing, capital controls and policy space for industrial policy.

    Enough is enough

    When these institutions failed to predict the global financial crisis of 2008, however, the BRICS and other emerging market and developing countries said enough is enough. First, they tried to work inside the system by proposing reforms that would grant them more say in voting procedures.

    However, the U.S. Congress has failed to approve the small stepwise reforms of that process — even though the United States would have maintained its veto power.

    BRICS and other emerging market nations also joined the G-20 in hopes that it would be a more pluralistic venue for global cooperation.

    The G-20 did hold a landmark 2009 meeting where a new vision was articulated for global economic governance, but none of the promises – especially the coordination of macroeconomic stimuli to recover from the crisis and comprehensive reform to prevent the next one — were realized.

    A “Rio Consensus”

    Now the BRICS are taking matters into their own hands. Their governments have been diligently putting together two new institutions that hold great promise — a new development bank and a new reserve pooling arrangement.

    The development bank would provide financing to BRICS and other emerging market and developing countries for infrastructure, industrialization and productive development. The reserve pool would allow BRICS and other nations to draw on pooled reserves in the event of balance of payments crises or threats to their currencies.

    When these institutions are launched in Rio this July, BRICS could and should forge a ”Rio Consensus” — provided they do not make the same mistakes of other, mostly Western-inspired “models” in the past. The key is to make it a model for global economic governance in the 21st century.

    The new bank on the bloc

    The key elements of a Rio Consensus are a definite step in that direction. At its core is a commitment to financial stability and productive development in a manner that is inclusive, honors human rights and is environmentally sustainable.

    Organizations carrying out such a mission should also have a more equitable organizational structure with open and transparent rules. This crucially includes the mechanism for picking leaders and a more equal voting system for existing and new members.

    Not only will such a framework and structure enable more appropriate finance for development and stability, it can also serve as a moral model of reform that can someday be achieved in the two Washington-based institutions themselves. This will give BRICS more leverage — and an opt-out if the industrialized countries stay set in their ways.

  • #2
    Most of the BRICS nations are entangled with the West/Western systems variously. India cannot be expected to work outside Western interest.

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    • #3
      The group of emerging economies signed the long-anticipated document to create the $100 bn BRICS Development Bank and a reserve currency pool worth over another $100 bn. Both will counter the influence of Western-based lending institutions and the dollar.


      BRICS establish $100bn bank and currency reserves to cut out Western dominance
      Published time: July 15, 2014 18:14
      Edited time: July 15, 2014 19:21 Get short URL



      The group of emerging economies signed the long-anticipated document to create the $100 bn BRICS Development Bank and a reserve currency pool worth over another $100 bn. Both will counter the influence of Western-based lending institutions and the dollar.

      The new bank will provide money for infrastructure and development projects in BRICS countries, and unlike the IMF or World Bank, each nation has equal say, regardless of GDP size.

      “BRICS Bank will be one of the major multilateral development finance institutions in this world,” Russian President Vladimir Putin said.

      The big launch of the BRICS bank is seen as a first step to break the dominance of the US dollar in global trade, as well as dollar-backed institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, both US-based institutions BRICS countries have little influence within.

      The countries’ finance ministers signed the memorandum of understanding in Fortaleza, Brazil on Tuesday, the first day of the BRICS 6th summit. Documents on cooperation between BRICS export credit agencies and an agreement of cooperation on innovation were also inked.

      Leaders from the five nations - Russia’s Vladimir Putin, Brazil’s Dilma Rousseff, China’s Xi Jinping, India’s Narenda Modi, and South Africa’s Jacob Zuma, were all in attendance.

      Each BRICS member is expected to put an equal share into establishing the startup capital of $50 billion with a goal to reach $100 billion. The BRICS bank will be headquartered inShanghai, India will preside as president the first year, and Russia will be the chairman of the representatives. Each country will send either their finance minister or Central Bank chair to the bank’s representative board.

      Membership may not just be limited to just BRICS nations, either. Future members could include countries in other emerging markets blocs, such as Mexico, Indonesia, or Argentina, once it sorts out its debt burden.

      BRICS represents 42 percent of the world’s population and roughly 20 percent of the world’s economy based on GDP, and 30 percent of the world’s GDP based on PPP, a more accurate reading of the real economy. Total trade between the countries is $6.14 trillion, or nearly 17 percent of the world’s total.

      The $100 billion crisis lending fund, called the Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), was also established. China will contribute the lion’s share, about $41 billion, Russia, Brazil and India will chip in $18 billion, and South Africa, the newest member of the economic bloc, will contribute $5 billion.

      The idea is that the creation of the bank will lessen dependence on the West and create a more multi-polar world, at least financially.

      “This mechanism creates the foundation for an effective protection of our national economies from a crisis in financial markets," Russian President Vladimir Putin said.

      The group has already created the BRICS Stock Alliance an initiative to cross list derivatives to smooth the path for international investors interested in emerging markets.

      Russia has also proposed the countries come together under an energy alliance that will include a fuel reserve, as well as an institute for energy policy

      "We propose the establishment of the Energy Association of BRICS. Under this ‘umbrella’, a Fuel Reserve Bank and BRICS Energy Policy Institute could be set up,” Putin said.

      Comment


      • #4
        Indonesia/Nigeria should replace South africa

        Nigeria is the biggest GDP in Africa onwards this year followed by top be among the top 12 in 2050
        "[B][SIZE="3"]Seer Speen Wazeer[/SIZE][/B]"

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