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Stand-off over powerful Afghan governor foreshadows bitter election fight

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  • Stand-off over powerful Afghan governor foreshadows bitter election fight

    Stand-off over powerful Afghan governor foreshadows bitter election fight | Reuters

    MAZAR-I SHARIF, Afghanistan (Reuters) - A stand-off between Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and Atta Mohammad Noor, the powerful provincial governor he is trying to remove from his northern stronghold, is increasingly turning into a battle over next year’s presidential election.

    Noor, a leader in the Jamiat-i Islami party and governor of the strategic province of Balkh, is defying Ghani, denouncing the “weak, lazy and corrupt” Kabul government in daily rallies with thousands of supporters and warning the government against trying to remove him by force.

    The deadlock, which has alarmed Western embassies and sparked fears of civil violence, has highlighted a fractious political climate that threatens to undermine recent battlefield successes from the sharp increase in U.S. air strikes last year.

    Noor accuses Ghani of trying to remove a potential rival and divide Jamiat ahead of a presidential election likely to be shaped by the ethnic faultlines that dominate Afghan politics, notably between Pashtuns and Persian-speaking Tajiks.

    “This is about the 2019 presidential election,” he told Reuters in an interview at his office in the provincial capital Mazar-i Sharif, where his portrait adorns streets and buildings across the city. “They have no grassroots support among the people and they are afraid of public figures who do.”

    Ghani has not explained an announcement last month that he had accepted a letter of resignation from Noor, signed earlier last year during negotiations over a possible national role for the governor who has ruled Balkh for more than a decade.

    But Noor says the letter, which has not been made public, was conditional on steps that Ghani has not taken and has refused to go.

    Ghani has not said anything publicly about the stand-off. His spokesman did not answer calls seeking comment.

    Noor, a former commander in the anti-Soviet Mujahiddin considered one of the richest men in Afghanistan, has faced repeated accusations of corruption, which he denies. In 2015 Human Rights Watch said there was “strong evidence that he controls and funds local militias implicated in serious abuse”.

    But Balkh, which sits on vital trade routes into central Asia, is also one of Afghanistan’s most stable and prosperous provinces, with a much smaller Taliban and Islamic State presence than in other northern regions.

    Noor enjoys strong support, notably from a business community that has done well out of the lucrative transit trade through Hairatan, the border crossing into Uzbekistan that handles hundreds of millions of dollars worth of goods a year.

    “People have been very unhappy about the problems between the president and the governor,” said Khairuddin Mayel, who runs a large cooking oil and foods business. “The governor has been very successful and people don’t want this province to become like the others. They do not want to lose this governor.”

    DISPUTED ELECTION

    As the stand-off in Balkh has continued it has become a national issue, with Noor now demanding wider concessions, including what Jamiat sees as proper implementation of the accord underpinning Ghani’s national unity government.

    Like many of the political problems of the past three years, the crisis stems from the fraud-marred presidential election in 2014 that left no agreed winner.

    Under a U.S.-brokered deal, Ghani, an ethnic Pashtun, was appointed president while his rival Abdullah Abdullah, from Jamiat, was given the specially created post of chief executive.

    Ever since, Jamiat supporters have bitterly resented what they see as Ghani’s betrayal of the deal and favoritism toward Pashtuns, traditionally the strongest group in Afghan politics.

    While Noor has been angry with Ghani, he has also been incensed by Abdullah, his long-time party rival, whom he describes as a “snake”.

    “Jamiat will never trust Dr Abdullah,” he said. “He has shown he is weak and a partner in the incompetence and crimes of the government.”

    Abdullah has confirmed he had approved the decision to oust the governor, but has had little to say about Noor’s reaction.

    The dispute has also highlighted the role of a clutch of regional leaders, of whom Noor is one of the most prominent, whose strong local support have made them difficult for the central government to control.

    Over recent months, Ghani has sidelined several of them, forcing ethnic Uzbek vice-President Rashid Dostum into exile following a torture scandal.

    He has also clashed with General Abdul Raziq, a powerful police commander whose successes against the Taliban in the southern province of Kandahar have given him a growing national profile.

    In June, Noor joined Dostum, currently in Turkey, in forming a “Coalition for the Salvation of Afghanistan”, uniting figures from the Tajik, Hazara and Uzbek communities. Pictures of the two, together with Hazara leader Mohammad Mohaqiq, are on prominent display in Mazar.

    Noor said they, and other regional leaders, represented a reality that could not be ignored.

    “We have powerful political parties, influential figures, those who have grassroots support among the people,” said Noor. “They will remain in Afghanistan and will fight against terrorism as they fought in the past.”

    Additional reporting by Mirwais Harooni in KABUL; Editing by Alex Richardson

  • #2
    Honestly speaking, does anyone really think there will be an election in 2019? How many years late are the parliamentary elections now?

    This feud is really interesting. Noor seems smarter than Dostum, so I doubt he’ll allow himself to be caught up in a similar scandal. And General Raziq preemptively rejecting any attempts to get rid of him suggests that he may have had somebody leak Ghani’s plans to him.

    I wonder why Ghani chose to do this if he wasn’t sure it was going to succeed. Such a risk suggests desperation, but I can’t think of any reason he’d be desperate right now. Did he just miscalculate? From an outsiders perspective, the move seemed foolish, as Noor was not unpopular, and Jamiat is still powerful.

    Comment


    • #3
      The problem with this issue is, that it is misunderstood. Both intentionally and unintentionally.
      This issue isn't an ethnic one. It has nothing to do with Tajik vs Pashtun. This issue is purely Corruption vs anti-corruption. Warlords from all background, including Pashtun warlords are against Ashraf Ghani and his reforms. To put it simply, people who are against Ashraf Ghani are those who have their interest in danger, because their interest align with corruption.
      To understand this problem, we need to go way back to Karzai era. When the Taliban got toppled, the government posts got filled with various Warlords from different factions. And in Karzai's 14 years rule, he did nothing to reduce it. So basically when the government got filled with those warlords, the entire system got changed into what we would call ''corruption culture''. Corruptions like bribery, nepotism etc. was no longer out of ordinary, but rather the norm. Now imagine 14 years of this rule, this corruption is basically got ingrained into the people.
      Its very obvious why the warlords are against Ashraf Ghani, but you may wonder why other people may be against him as well. As I mention before, 14 years of warlord rule, have turned it into corruption culture, which means some people may have associate themselves with some warlords and ass licked that warlord to get into a better position. Now that their warlords are under attack, they as well are losing all those years of ass licking.
      So this has nothing to do with Pashtun vs Tajik or other bullsh*t. It is the spin-doctors who turned this into a Pashtun vs Tajik thing or stability vs instability thing. They know that if this case turns into what it really is; an anti-corruption campaign against warlords, then not only will it get a wide support from the Afghan people, but also abroad and foreign countries. One can also clearly see how this article also trying to portray it as the ''oppressive Pashtun vs the poor oppressed minorities''. If this really was a Pasthun vs Tajik thing, then why in hell would Pashtun warlords be targeted as well. Now imagine any person who is against corruption and isn't Pashtun and ask yourself, wouldn't he have done the same... Imagine Ramazan Bashardost an ethnic Hazara, wouldn't he have done the same. Any individual who is against corruption, would have precisely done the same. Sadly the reality in Afghanistan is, if that particular anti-corruption individual is an ethnic Pashtun, the spin-doctors will always turn this into Pashtun vs minority thing, why you may ask, because it is easy...
      Don't quote me or speak to me if you hate Afghanistan, you be ignored.

      People with identity crisis will be ignored as well.

      ''When you cant make them see the light, make them feel the heat''
      Ronald Reagan

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7cmZyOrUA0

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QC9sz0nPePI

      Pashto dictionary:
      http://thepashto.com/index.php

      Comment


      • #4
        Both sides have miscalculated. Ghani thought he could "topple" Atta "easily" but this has backfired. Atta made a mistake by writing a "resign letter" without disclosing the conditions, so Ghani played smarter. Now both sides have reached an impasse.

        All this reminds me of Mullah Nasrudeen:

        One day Mullah Nasrudeen was asked to settle a dispute.

        He listens to one side and says “You are right”. Then he hears the plea of the other side and declares that he, too is right. One of the listeners stands up and objects saying “Hodja Effendi, surely both sides can not be right, one must be right and the other wrong. “

        Hodja looks at him and says:

        “You, too are right.”


        You see guys, both and neither are right. Negotiation and rationality can solve this problem as long as both sides are sincerely willing to settle it.
        "For thirty years, I endured much pain and strife,
        I awaken the Ajam by this Persian [language]. "

        -Ferdowsi.

        Comment

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