I genuinely appreciated Herats presence on this forum because a- he seemed like an intelligent young man, and b- he provided a perspective that was sorely missing from the delusional narrative most of you Pashtuns peddle on this forum
Like it or not, his perspective is based on certain ground realities and reflects the anger of many non Pashtuns.
Unfortunately with every post, the immature child in him emerges which will delegitimize what he has to say in the eyes of many members
Fact is, Afghanistan as we know it is for the most part finished. The non Pashtuns wont support a Pashtun president (the taliban angle is simply a ruse and excuse). The only exception would be a figurehead with nominal power a la Karzai, while they still control their own lands.
I do see partition as being a possibility, I also see a dysfunctional federalist system existing for a while before the eventual partition
If partition happens, not a single one of the rump states would thrive at all. The Pashtun South would be informally annexed by Pakistan and become an extension of FATA, the Non Pashtun North would be fragmented among its own regional, ethnic and secterian differences, and be informally a client state of Iran with Russian interference. The region would be a disaster for generations to come
The only salvation for the region and for the people of today's Afghanistan is a federalist structure but not just any federalist structure.
An Afghanistan that transitions to federalism today would fall apart within a few years
Afghanistan needs to become more of a confederacy between city states, a long the lines of a Central Asian UAE. A great degree of autonomy and domestic governance (education, health, some taxation), but a federalist structure with jurisdiction over foreign affairs, defence etc with open borders between the city states
This can only work if there is a unitied de-ethnicized party in power in Kabul which retains support and respect of the entire populace. It would have to be nationalist to some degree (to take advantage of the still existing sense of "Afghaniyat"), it would have to based on the idea of that land being Ariana, an ancient land, confederacy of all tribes, the idea of its independent nature, a shared history etc and there would have to be a conservative religious basis to it
Such a project, ideologically and in a practical sense, would also have to have a grand regional vision (Tajikistan, Pashtun/Baloch areas of Pakistan, other Central Asian states becoming part of a regional Ariana)
There would have to be an institutionalized propagation of state ideology, a force akin to the IRGC to exercise federal power.
Had a project like this been conceptualized 10 years ago, we might have been able to see its early fruition today. Unfortunately, this is a generational project which wont happen because other factors will take precedence before that comes to be.
Afghanistan has always lacked proactive visionaries. The partition argument is not bold or visionary at all. Its simply reactionary.
Like it or not, his perspective is based on certain ground realities and reflects the anger of many non Pashtuns.
Unfortunately with every post, the immature child in him emerges which will delegitimize what he has to say in the eyes of many members
Fact is, Afghanistan as we know it is for the most part finished. The non Pashtuns wont support a Pashtun president (the taliban angle is simply a ruse and excuse). The only exception would be a figurehead with nominal power a la Karzai, while they still control their own lands.
I do see partition as being a possibility, I also see a dysfunctional federalist system existing for a while before the eventual partition
If partition happens, not a single one of the rump states would thrive at all. The Pashtun South would be informally annexed by Pakistan and become an extension of FATA, the Non Pashtun North would be fragmented among its own regional, ethnic and secterian differences, and be informally a client state of Iran with Russian interference. The region would be a disaster for generations to come
The only salvation for the region and for the people of today's Afghanistan is a federalist structure but not just any federalist structure.
An Afghanistan that transitions to federalism today would fall apart within a few years
Afghanistan needs to become more of a confederacy between city states, a long the lines of a Central Asian UAE. A great degree of autonomy and domestic governance (education, health, some taxation), but a federalist structure with jurisdiction over foreign affairs, defence etc with open borders between the city states
This can only work if there is a unitied de-ethnicized party in power in Kabul which retains support and respect of the entire populace. It would have to be nationalist to some degree (to take advantage of the still existing sense of "Afghaniyat"), it would have to based on the idea of that land being Ariana, an ancient land, confederacy of all tribes, the idea of its independent nature, a shared history etc and there would have to be a conservative religious basis to it
Such a project, ideologically and in a practical sense, would also have to have a grand regional vision (Tajikistan, Pashtun/Baloch areas of Pakistan, other Central Asian states becoming part of a regional Ariana)
There would have to be an institutionalized propagation of state ideology, a force akin to the IRGC to exercise federal power.
Had a project like this been conceptualized 10 years ago, we might have been able to see its early fruition today. Unfortunately, this is a generational project which wont happen because other factors will take precedence before that comes to be.
Afghanistan has always lacked proactive visionaries. The partition argument is not bold or visionary at all. Its simply reactionary.


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