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What the Polls Tell Us About the Afghan Presidential Election

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  • What the Polls Tell Us About the Afghan Presidential Election

    s it possible to predict the upcoming Afghan elections on the basis of polling data? There are severe methodological challenges in collecting accurate survey data in a country like Afghanistan, and, given how young the country's democracy is, not much past data on how well those predictions turned out. But surveys during the 2009 presidential election did prove to be fairly consistent with regards to the final vote count. And a number of surveys conducted in recent months have shown reasonable consistency. AAN guest author Matthieu Aikins (with input from the AAN team) takes a closer look at the data.



  • #2
    Your favorite one is loosing I guess. About the election said same. The loosing parties always have excuse.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by afghan View Post
      Your favorite one is loosing I guess. About the election said same. The loosing parties always have excuse.
      This guy who wrote this article is right what he says if we look to the frame of the election process, however I don´t accept with him that the Mr. Zalmai Rassoul will not play any role. We already the second strongest team. Our fear at the moment is what if we go to the second round and what if Dr. Abdullah and Dr. Ghani will go a coalation. It would be plausible. Today, a leaked information reached myself that there are some contacts to Dr. AA´s team mediated by Mr. Qanuni and Mr. Sadat from our team. I think we are going to make a deal about power-sharing with them so far I got understood the information.

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      • #4
        Inshallah Zalmai Rassul will be our future president. He is currently the only one with no corruption, blood, criminal activities on his personal protocals.

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