Originally posted by Mostafa1919
View Post
So its a little assinine to say that the war is over simply because you want it to be.
At this point, building of bases and money being injected into US mercenary forces is increasing... not decreasing.
Lets examine the terms that the two warring powers are fighting over. The super power and its Kabul government are demanding that the Taliban recognize the Afghan constitution, written wholecloth by emigres who fled the country in terror during the Russian onslaught. Support for the constitution and the educational curriculum that will influence the masses comes not from Afghans but the UN forces.
I hardly think you can make the case that the average villager in Helmand is worried about some paper writ with supposed rights he is extended when he has many more real life problems on his hands.
Here is a Wash Po article describing how the last 40 years will be purposefully omitted in Afghan history text books by fiat of the emigre government and its NATO aligned backers:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/...Q_story_1.html
At this juncture, NATO continues to have outposts located in multiple parts of the country. The film that Nokia posted of the war stretching into Kunar province and into the border of Nuristan is proof positive of that.
Your logic is also flawed in that there is a reason for a suggested 2014 draw down date in the first place. That reason comes from the escalation in violence over the recent years. In that interim Senator Graham has floated the idea, and Karzai in his Loya Jirga has attempted to gain acceptance for the notion, that permanent bases need to be present.
So lets review:
1) The Taliban refuse to accept the constitution because of theoretic constructs (ie secularism vs religiousism)
2) Permanent bases are a sticking point that remain unresolved (refer to article above and Karzai's rants about mystical Lions)
Your commentary about the best interests of the people, is once again an opinion. Its a valid opinion. One might say that Benedict Arnold also felt that he had the best interests of his people at heart. The question remains though, would an incomplete American revolution with concordant incomplete sovereingty have been in the "best interests" of the American people? For that matter, we have seen what utter lack of soveriegnty has done for other races where colonialization completed itself. Looking back on struggles across the world there are generally two philosophies that battled.
I believe Ghundal's question posed to you about Vietnam is actually dead on and something you need to answer. The reason is plain and simple. Dhiem was the Karzai equivalent of Vietnam. He had his subsequent followers who fled to the US in droves when the Vietcong stormed Saigon. Prior to his death Dhiem did his best to claim that ending the war trumped sovereignty in all ways. At the end of the day, a famous American General touted, to the lead General of the Vietcong, the fact that the Americans won every battle and killed many more Vietnemese than the Vietcong killed Americans. yet the Vietnemese General answered plainly: It didnt matter, we still won the war. The point was the insurgents understood that sovereignty for the future generations trumped the struggle and pains of the present. For that matter, the Vietcong also relied on a foreign philosopy and recieved guns, equipment, and training from China and Russia. The world however saw the moral imperitive resting on the side of a native force, whatever its ideology was, resisting against elites that bought in a super power from the occident to prop up its regime.
The other problem with your theory is that you truncate history at 1991. Its common history amongst Wazir tribal elders, especially of the Yargu Khel variety that Amanullah used Waziristan for strategic depth and hence the lands that Wazirs were given when they helped his cause. He appealed to their help while the Wazirs were in British Indian land at the time. Nadir Shah also found his heridatory Sardarship across the durand line and equipped his forces there and marched from there, once again with the help of FATA tribals. AbdurRahman Khan took refuge across the Oxus. Dost Muhammad was imprisoned and then sent back by the British themselves from Hindustan. Dost Muhammad would also fight the British proxy war on Persia later in his reign.
Your central premise appears to be, and correct me if Im wrong, that its not truly a representative insurgent voice or force if it requires its own ironically, strategic depth. Well, then you may have to address Dr. Geuvaras utilization of multiple Latin American countries as backward operating bases, or FARCs sometimes use of Venezuala, or the Vietcong's use of Camobodia. Thats not a weakness, thats just smart.
Your problem is that you want to impose what you view as being a "fair fight" on to people you simly dont like, as opposed to stepping back and simply labeling people Team A and Team B and then critically analyzing what you are saying.
If we were to stretch your logic ad infinatum it would mean that you are asking the average Talib foot soldier to run at drones and fight a superbly armed force with everything from X ray, Night Ray infrared, Night Vision standard, Satellite monitoring head to head.
Do you realize how absurd that sounds?
Its like saying
Child A is 9 years old and emaciated and about 4 feet tall.
Child-Man B is 17 years old, works out at the gym, is a football player, knows the martial arts and has a pair of brass knuckles on. Hes about 6 foot 5.
And you are watching this fight and Child A kicks Child-Man B in the balls. Child Man B goes down to the ground, face blue and purple. Child A drives the point home and stabs Child-Man B with his pen while he is down and then runs as fast as his tiny legs can take him.
Its idiotic to assume that Child A should risk getting the most severe beat down simply because you decided that a kick to the balls was dishonorable.
If your answer is that Child A had some annoying Arabic speaking friends that brought on the rage of Child-Man B, I would venture to say that you would then invite a discussion of why they invited the rage???
The moral issue there is that children (or in this case superpowers), if being judged by a moral standard of fighting fair, have to then be judged fairly by the person that invites on such a ludicrous situation as attempting to judge the setup.
By that same token, why not use the reverse logic? Why not ask the NATO powers to make things fair. Everyone takes a time out for the next 5 years and they give the Taliban equal arms and training on how to use those arms and in about, oh 5 years from now, the rematch starts???
If on the one hand you criticize the Taliban for using Northern Pakistan as a backward operating base because its "unfair" or because you believe (without evidence at hand) that the average Afghan doesnt want them or any other force for that matter to fight Karzai, why not also level criticism a the degree of assymmetry?
You also conveniently skip over the main reason that northern Pakistan, with FATA being the prime place, is the refuge.
Lets take a look at the cross over between Baloch pakistan and Baloch Iran... lets refer to Kurdish seperatist regions in 3 different states (Iraq, Iran, and Turkey). Lets also have you quiz Dost Muhammad, Amanullah, and Nadir regarding their utilization of the tribes.
Remember, Mostafa, an honest analysis has nothing to do with being a jihadi or a keyboard warrior. If Ghundal were to extend his logic and say that the Taliban were fighting because America has its own role in Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, or Saudi, then I would be right there withyou saying his logic doesnt make sense. But your analysis of proxyism is not detailed enough nor is it sensical enough. Aligned goals between two groups of people does not mean 100% overlap of every goal. That is exactly why the English coined the saying: the enemy of my enemy is my friend.
And to summarize you forget why 2014 is such an important date in the first place. It was not picked willy nilly and the American halls of power are talking about an extension beyond that to 2024. So how pray tell is the war over?

Comment