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  • Balkanization of Pakistan

    This is a 2 year old article that made an accurate forecast of things to come in Pakistan. I've posted links to news articles from today that is of any

    by Prof. Michel Chossudovsky
    (Dec 30, 2007)
    Global Research


    The assassination of Benazir Bhutto has created conditions which contribute to the ongoing destabilization and fragmentation of Pakistan as a Nation. The process of US sponsored "regime change", which normally consists in the re-formation of a fresh proxy government under new leaders has been broken. Discredited in the eyes of Pakistani public opinion, General Pervez Musharaf cannot remain in the seat of political power. But at the same time, the fake elections supported by the "international community" scheduled for January 2008, even if they were to be carried out, would not be accepted as legitimate, thereby creating a political impasse.
    There are indications that the assassination of Benazir Bhutto was anticipated by US officials:
    "It has been known for months that the Bush-Cheney administration and its allies have been maneuvering to strengthen their political control of Pakistan, paving the way for the expansion and deepening of the “war on terrorism” across the region.
    Various American destabilization plans, known for months by officials and analysts, proposed the toppling of Pakistan's military...
    The assassination of Bhutto appears to have been anticipated. There were even reports of “chatter” among US officials about the possible assassinations of either Pervez Musharraf or Benazir Bhutto, well before the actual attempts took place. (Larry Chin, Global Research, 29 December 2007)
    Political Impasse
    "Regime change" with a view to ensuring continuity under military rule is no longer the main thrust of US foreign policy. The regime of Pervez Musharraf cannot prevail. Washington's foreign policy course is to actively promote the political fragmentation and balkanization of Pakistan as a nation.
    A new political leadership is anticipated but in all likelihood it will take on a very different shape, in relation to previous US sponsored regimes. One can expect that Washington will push for a compliant political leadership, with no commitment to the national interest, a leadership which will serve US imperial interests, while concurrently contributing under the disguise of "decentralization", to the weakening of the central government and the fracture of Pakistan's fragile federal structure.
    The political impasse is deliberate. It is part of an evolving US foreign policy agenda, which favors disruption and disarray in the structures of the Pakistani State. Indirect rule by the Pakistani military and intelligence apparatus is to be replaced by more direct forms of US interference, including an expanded US military presence inside Pakistan.

    This expanded military presence is also dictated by the Middle East-Central Asia geopolitical situation and Washington's ongoing plans to extend the Middle East war to a much broader area.
    The US has several military bases in Pakistan. It controls the country's air space. According to a recent report: "U.S. Special Forces are expected to vastly expand their presence in Pakistan, as part of an effort to train and support indigenous counter-insurgency forces and clandestine counterterrorism units" (William Arkin, Washington Post, December 2007).
    The official justification and pretext for an increased military presence in Pakistan is to extend the "war on terrorism". Concurrently, to justify its counterrorism program, Washington is also beefing up its covert support to the "terrorists."



    The Balkanization of Pakistan
    Already in 2005, a report by the US National Intelligence Council and the CIA forecast a "Yugoslav-like fate" for Pakistan "in a decade with the country riven by civil war, bloodshed and inter-provincial rivalries, as seen recently in Balochistan." (Energy Compass, 2 March 2005). According to the NIC-CIA, Pakistan is slated to become a "failed state" by 2015, "as it would be affected by civil war, complete Talibanisation and struggle for control of its nuclear weapons". (Quoted by former Pakistan High Commissioner to UK, Wajid Shamsul Hasan, Times of India, 13 February 2005):
    "Nascent democratic reforms will produce little change in the face of opposition from an entrenched political elite and radical Islamic parties. In a climate of continuing domestic turmoil, the Central government's control probably will be reduced to the Punjabi heartland and the economic hub of Karachi," the former diplomat quoted the NIC-CIA report as saying.
    Expressing apprehension, Hasan asked, "are our military rulers working on a similar agenda or something that has been laid out for them in the various assessment reports over the years by the National Intelligence Council in joint collaboration with CIA?" (Ibid)
    Continuity, characterized by the dominant role of the Pakistani military and intelligence has been scrapped in favor of political breakup and balkanization.

    According to the NIC-CIA scenario, which Washington intends to carry out: "Pakistan will not recover easily from decades of political and economic mismanagement, divisive policies, lawlessness, corruption and ethnic friction," (Ibid) .
    The US course consists in fomenting social, ethnic and factional divisions and political fragmentation, including the territorial breakup of Pakistan. This course of action is also dictated by US war plans in relation to both Afghanistan and Iran.
    This US agenda for Pakistan is similar to that applied throughout the broader Middle East Central Asian region. US strategy, supported by covert intelligence operations, consists in triggering ethnic and religious strife, abetting and financing secessionist movements while also weakening the institutions of the central government.
    The broader objective is to fracture the Nation State and redraw the borders of Iraq, Iran, Syria, Afghanistan and Pakistan.





    US warned Pak it might lose Pashtoon belt in few years: Wikileaks

    Pakistan's Oil and Gas reserves

    Pakistan's extensive oil and gas reserves, largely located in Balochistan province, as well as its pipeline corridors are considered strategic by the Anglo-American alliance, requiring the concurrent militarization of Pakistani territory.
    Balochistan comprises more than 40 percent of Pakistan's land mass, possesses important reserves of oil and natural gas as well as extensive mineral resources.
    The Iran-India pipeline corridor is slated to transit through Balochistan. Balochistan also possesses a deap sea port largely financed by China located at Gwadar, on the Arabian Sea, not far from the Straits of Hormuz where 30 % of the world's daily oil supply moves by ship or pipeline. (Asia News.it, 29 December 2007)
    Pakistan has an estimated 25.1 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of proven gas reserves of which 19 trillion are located in Balochistan. Among foreign oil and gas contractors in Balochistan are BP, Italy's ENI, Austria's OMV, and Australia's BHP. It is worth noting that Pakistan's State oil and gas companies, including PPL which has the largest stake in the Sui oil fields of Balochistan are up for privatization under IMF-World Bank supervision.
    According to the Oil and Gas Journal (OGJ), Pakistan had proven oil reserves of 300 million barrels, most of which are located in Balochistan. Other estimates place Balochistan oil reserves at an estimated six trillion barrels of oil reserves both on-shore and off-shore (Environment News Service, 27 October 2006) .


    Covert Support to Balochistan Separatists

    Balochistan's strategic energy reserves have a bearing on the separatist agenda. Following a familiar pattern, there are indications that the Baloch insurgency is being supported and abetted by Britain and the US.

    The Baloch national resistance movement dates back to the late 1940s, when Balochistan was invaded by Pakistan. In the current geopolitical context, the separatist movement is in the process of being hijacked by foreign powers.
    British intelligence is allegedly providing covert support to Balochistan separatists (which from the outset have been repressed by Pakistan's military). In June 2006, Pakistan's Senate Committee on Defence accused British intelligence of "abetting the insurgency in the province bordering Iran" [Balochistan]..(Press Trust of India, 9 August 2006). Ten British MPs were involved in a closed door session of the Senate Committee on Defence regarding the alleged support of Britain's Secret Service to Baloch separatists (Ibid). Also of relevance are reports of CIA and Mossad support to Baloch rebels in Iran and Southern Afghanistan.

    It would appear that Britain and the US are supporting both sides. The US is providing American F-16 jets to the Pakistani military, which are being used to bomb Baloch villages in Balochistan. Meanwhile, British alleged covert support to the separatist movement (according to the Pakistani Senate Committee) contributes to weakening the central government.

    The stated purpose of US counter-terrorism is to provide covert support as well as as training to "Liberation Armies" ultimately with a view to destabilizing sovereign governments. In Kosovo, the training of the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) in the 1990s had been entrusted to a private mercenary company, Military Professional Resources Inc (MPRI), on contract to the Pentagon.

    The BLA bears a canny resemblance to Kosovo's KLA, which was financed by the drug trade and supported by the CIA and Germany's Bundes Nachrichten Dienst (BND).

    The BLA emerged shortly after the 1999 military coup. It has no tangible links to the Baloch resistance movement, which developed since the late 1940s. An aura of mystery surrounds the leadership of the BLA.


    Baloch population in Pink: In Iran, Pakistan and Southern Afghanistan
    Washington favors the creation of a "Greater Balochistan" which would integrate the Baloch areas of Pakistan with those of Iran and possibly the Southern tip of Afghanistan (See Map above), thereby leading to a process of political fracturing in both Iran and Pakistan.
    "The US is using Balochi nationalism for staging an insurgency inside Iran's Sistan-Balochistan province. The 'war on terror' in Afghanistan gives a useful political backdrop for the ascendancy of Balochi militancy" (See Global Research, 6 March 2007).
    Military scholar Lieutenant Colonel Ralph Peters writing in the June 2006 issue of The Armed Forces Journal, suggests, in no uncertain terms that Pakistan should be broken up, leading to the formation of a separate country: "Greater Balochistan" or "Free Balochistan" (see Map below). The latter would incorporate the Pakistani and Iranian Baloch provinces into a single political entity.
    In turn, according to Peters, Pakistan's North West Frontier Province (NWFP) should be incorporated into Afghanistan "because of its linguistic and ethnic affinity". This proposed fragmentation, which broadly reflects US foreign policy, would reduce Pakistani territory to approximately 50 percent of its present land area. (See map). Pakistan would also loose a large part of its coastline on the Arabian Sea.
    Although the map does not officially reflect Pentagon doctrine, it has been used in a training program at NATO's Defense College for senior military officers. This map, as well as other similar maps, have most probably been used at the National War Academy as well as in military planning circles. (See Mahdi D. Nazemroaya, Global Research, 18 November 2006)
    "Lieutenant-Colonel Peters was last posted, before he retired to the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, within the U.S. Defence Department, and has been one of the Pentagon’s foremost authors with numerous essays on strategy for military journals and U.S. foreign policy." (Ibid)




    It is worth noting that secessionist tendencies are not limited to Balochistan. There are separatist groups in Sindh province, which are largely based on opposition to the Punjabi-dominated military regime of General Pervez Musharraf (For Further details see Selig Harrisson, Le Monde diplomatique, October 2006)



    US forces in Balochistan compromising Pakistan's sovereignty: PML-N


    Instability in Balochistan

    Karzai admits presence of 200 Baloch’s in Afghanistan: Leaks


    Alarming Balochistan situation


    Israel Hosts 'Balochistan Govt In Exile'

    "Strong Economic Medicine": Weakening Pakistan's Central Government
    Pakistan has a federal structure based on federal provincial transfers. Under a federal fiscal structure, the central government transfers financial resources to the provinces, with a view to supporting provincial based programs. When these transfers are frozen as occurred in Yugoslavia in January 1990, on orders of the IMF, the federal fiscal structure collapses:
    "State revenues that should have gone as transfer payments to the republics [of the Yugoslav federation] went instead to service Belgrade's debt ... . The republics were largely left to their own devices. ... The budget cuts requiring the redirection of federal revenues towards debt servicing, were conducive to the suspension of transfer payments by Belgrade to the governments of the Republics and Autonomous Provinces.
    In one fell swoop, the reformers had engineered the final collapse of Yugoslavia's federal fiscal structure and mortally wounded its federal political institutions. By cutting the financial arteries between Belgrade and the republics, the reforms fueled secessionist tendencies that fed on economic factors as well as ethnic divisions, virtually ensuring the de facto secession of the republics. (Michel Chossudovsky, The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, Second Edition, Global Research, Montreal, 2003, Chapter 17.)
    It is by no means accidental that the 2005 National Intelligence Council- CIA report had predicted a "Yugoslav-like fate" for Pakistan pointing to the impacts of "economic mismanagement" as one of the causes of political break-up and balkanization.

    "Economic mismanagement" is a term used by the Washington based international financial institutions to describe the chaos which results from not fully abiding by the IMF's Structural Adjustment Program. In actual fact, the "economic mismanagement" and chaos is the outcome of IMF-World Bank prescriptions, which invariably trigger hyperinflation and precipitate indebted countries into extreme poverty.
    Pakistan has been subjected to the same deadly IMF "economic medicine" as Yugoslavia: In 1999, in the immediate wake of the coup d'Etat which brought General Pervez Musharaf to the helm of the military government, an IMF economic package, which included currency devaluation and drastic austerity measures, was imposed on Pakistan. Pakistan's external debt is of the order of US$40 billion. The IMF's "debt reduction" under the package was conditional upon the sell-off to foreign capital of the most profitable State owned enterprises (including the oil and gas facilities in Balochistan) at rockbottom prices .
    Musharaf's Finance Minister was chosen by Wall Street, which is not an unusual practice. The military rulers appointed at Wall Street's behest, a vice-president of Citigroup, Shaukat Aziz, who at the time was head of CitiGroup's Global Private Banking. (See WSWS.org, 30 October 1999). CitiGroup is among the largest commercial foreign banking institutions in Pakistan.
    There are obvious similarities in the nature of US covert intelligence operations applied in country after country in different parts of the so-called "developing World". These covert operation, including the organisation of military coups, are often synchronized with the imposition of IMF-World Bank macro-economic reforms. In this regard, Yugoslavia's federal fiscal structure collapsed in 1990 leading to mass poverty and heightened ethnic and social divisions. The US and NATO sponsored "civil war" launched in mid-1991 consisted in coveting Islamic groups as well as channeling covert support to separatist paramilitary armies in Bosnia, Kosovo and Macedonia.

    A similar "civil war" scenario has been envisaged for Pakistan by the National Intelligence Council and the CIA: From the point of view of US intelligence, which has a longstanding experience in abetting separatist "liberation armies", "Greater Albania" is to Kosovo what "Greater Balochistan" is to Pakistan's Southeastern Balochistan province. Similarly, the KLA is Washington's chosen model, to be replicated in Balochistan province.


    Pakistan to seek extension in $11.3bn IMF loan


    US asks Pakistan to honour commitments on tax measures


    Agricultural tax proposed in Pakistan

    The Assassination of Benazir Bhutto
    Benazir Bhutto was assassinated in Rawalpindi, no ordinary city. Rawalpindi is a military city host to the headquarters of the Pakistani Armed Forces and Military Intelligence (ISI). Ironically Bhutto was assassinated in an urban area tightly controlled and guarded by the military police and the country's elite forces. Rawalpindi is swarming with ISI intelligence officials, which invariably infiltrate political rallies. Her assassination was not a haphazard event.
    Without evidence, quoting Pakistan government sources, the Western media in chorus has highlighted the role of Al-Qaeda, while also focusing on the the possible involvement of the ISI.
    What these interpretations do not mention is that the ISI continues to play a key role in overseeing Al Qaeda on behalf of US intelligence. The press reports fail to mention two important and well documented facts:
    1) the ISI maintains close ties to the CIA. The ISI is virtually an appendage of the CIA.
    2) Al Qaeda is a creation of the CIA. The ISI provides covert support to Al Qaeda, acting on behalf of US intelligence.
    The involvement of either Al Qaeda and/or the ISI would suggest that US intelligence was cognizant and/or implicated in the assassination plot.

    [Part Two: Pakistan and the "Global War on Terrorism" at
    Pakistan and the "Global War on Terrorism"]

  • #2
    Originally posted by MI6
    Alqaeda is a ISI tool to keep the region under its control and influence.

    If Alqaeda according to you is controlled by CIA, then how come their main leaders have been hit by drone attacks in North Waziristan?

    Bhutto was killed by Baitullah mahsud, the two guys who killed her were from South Waziristan and both were from the Mahsud tribe. I was told this in Wazirisitan, and there was a video of them speaking before they killed her.

    She was a threat to the TTP because she wanted to sack rouge ISI agents who were still supporting Alqaeda and the Taliban, she pledged to expose them and they got her killed through baitullah mahsud.

    Alchemist, did you know Alqaeda has opened up recruitment centres all over Mir Ali, Miram Shah,Dattakhel village and angoor adda in South Waziristan? Do you know they are not a made up organisation but a reality, do you know Arabs go there to fight Americans?

    Of course the Americans can finish off the Alqaeda in a few days but they want the fight to prolong to justify their presence in the region, but please do not get it mixed up, Alqaeda is real as ever and they are operational without the CIA.

    How come, In Bajaur the Al Zahawari dude was founded and located hiding in a house, CIA drone came and attacked that House, but he fled, Who told him CIA was going to attack him? why did Americans suspect rouge ISI agents informed him about the attack?

    Wake up dude, Go to North Waziristan, When your there, go to Miram Shah Market, you will see Alqaeda with Taliban roaming the streets very freely, Also you will see Pakistani Army check posts everywhere allowing these terrorists to do their daily routine of terrorising the locals and recruting Madrassah kids.

    "The truth is, there is no Islamic army or terrorist group called Al Qaida. And any informed intelligence officer knows this. But there is a propaganda campaign to make the public believe in the presence of an identified entity representing the 'devil' only in order to drive the TV watcher to accept a unified international leadership for a war against terrorism. The country behind this propaganda is the US . . ." -- Former British Foreign Secretary Robin Cook


    Al-Qaida is arabic for HeadQuarters. It was located on the boarder of Pakistan and Afghanistan. Pakistan under the direction of CIA funneled cash and guns to Mujahideen psychos like Gulbuden Hikmatyar. And every mujahid back then, other than the locals, would register there and recieve training and munations. It is a fact that ISI under the directions of CIA set up "training camps" for the purposes of defeating the Soviets during the 80s. This has been continuing for the past 20 years and it is funded by Drug Money.

    Don't get bogged down on "Al qaeda". There are local traitors who dance readily to the tunes of mossad and cia...namely Jundallah, whose leader when he was caught admitted to being funded by US. I know its very confusing but that is how America operates. America attacked Afghanistan on the premise that they would oust the Taliban Regime and Al -qaida. Now US army is willing to negotiate with the Taliban. Does that make sense? Also that there are fake Alqaeda stooges running around the world has already been exposed in the media.


    YouTube - Fake Al Qaeda Actors EXPOSED! Adam Gadahn & Yousef al-Khattab!

    ONE of al-Qaeda's most dangerous figures has been revealed as a double agent working for MI5, raising criticism from European governments, which repeatedly called for his arrest. Britain ignored warnings - which began before the September 11 attacks - from half a dozen friendly governments about Abu Qatada's links with terrorist groups and refused to arrest him. Intelligence chiefs hid from European allies their intention to use the cleric as a key informer against Islamic militants in Britain.
    ...
    Indignant French officials accused MI5 of helping the cleric to abscond. While he remained on the run, one intelligence chief in Paris was quoted as saying: "British intelligence is saying they have no idea where he is, but we know where he is and, if we know, I'm quite sure they do."

    Here is something that might interest you on the case of Benazair bhutto:

    Zardari said Mehsud not behind Benazir's killing: WikiLeaks

    As you might recall, the US has alleged that Osama bin laden is the commander in chief of Al-CIA-duh, but in an interview only few weeks before assassination Bhutto made the claim that Osama bin laden is dead.



    This is the irony of it all, that people of Balochistan and Waziristan are jumping to help foreign kafir elements in the destruction of pakistan

    Comment


    • #3
      I don't understand what your contention is.

      My point is that Pakistan is being broke up into pieces by the US. And you are trying to prove what? That "Al qaida" exists?

      The web link that you posted talks about "Jundullah", Jaish e Muhammed and taliban being "aided by Pakistan's Military". And who is aiding the Pakistani Military?

      This is what imran khan says:

      In an article in The News (How to clear the mess), Imran Khan wrote:

      "No Pakistani was involved in 9/11 and the CIA-trained Al Qaeda was based in Afghanistan...

      Iran is ideologically opposed to both Al Qaeda and the Taliban yet why are its security forces not attacked by terrorists?

      "The answer is because their President does not pretend to be a bulwark against Islamic extremism in return for US dollars and support." (How to clear the mess? : Imran Khan)

      So this is Imran khan saying that Al-qaeda only exists where the leaders pretend to be against 'extremism' in exchange for $.


      As for Nawaz Sharif and Col. Imam, their idea of "Al qaeda" is not the same as yours. Both Nawaz and Col. Imam worked intimately with OBL. Why would anything they say have any credibility for you? In fact, these two people were the middle men between the CIA and the 'mujahideen' who are no labelled as "Al qaeda" ( by the Us).

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by MI6
        I HAVE BEEN TO WAZIRISTAN, ALQAEDA ARE THEREEEEE IN NORTH WAZIRISTAN, Baitullah, that uzbek dude, Arab jihadis are all in Waziristan, the Punjabi Taliban are also there.

        GO TO WAZIRISTAN AND SEE FOR YOURSELF.

        All this non sense man! I have been to Waziristan, the members here on this forum from Waziristan also seen it themselves, Some Punjabi in Canada who hasnt even visited the region thinks he knows everything and follows these internet made mumbo jumbo non sense.

        GO WATCH THE VIDEOS OF HAMID GUL, col IMAM, Imran khan, your nawaz sharif, they all say AL QAEDA IS THEREE!

        Go on, I dare you to go to Waziristan, go to Miram Shah Market, you will it for yourself.

        http://criticalppp.com/archives/20144


        were al qaeda wearing badges?

        what part of wazirisatan?

        where did you stay?

        who showed you around?

        Comment

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